Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.