Coupe de France | Seventh Round

Nov 16, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade des Rives du Thouet

Saumur
0 - 2
Concarneau

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thibaut Sery (21'), Soukouna (62')
Tchaptchet (51'), Seydi (73')

Coverage of the Coupe de France Seventh Round clash between Saumur and Concarneau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saumur

Last Game: Saumur 1-2 Toulouse
Wednesday, April 7 at 5.45pm in Coupe de France

Concarneau

All competitions

Last Game: Laval 2-0 Concarneau
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Saumur had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Saumur win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Concarneau in this match.

Result
Saumur	Draw	Concarneau
13.63% ( 0.06)	19.48% ( -0.03)	66.88% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.35% (

0.26)

43.64% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96% (

0.26)

66.04% (

-0.26)

Saumur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.44% (

0.25)

43.56% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.24% (

0.21)

79.76% (

-0.21)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

0.07)

12.12% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.3% (

0.14)

37.7% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Saumur 13.63%

Concarneau 66.88%

Draw 19.48%

Saumur	Draw	Concarneau
1-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.63%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.48%	0-2 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 66.88%