Coupe de France | Round of 16
Apr 7, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 
Toulouse

Saumur
1 - 2
Toulouse

Bouhoutt (32')
Coquau (15'), Billeaux (42'), Fokam Kamguem (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Spierings (20' pen.), Kasongo (67')
Diakite (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Saumur and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 77.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Saumur had a probability of 6.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.13%) and 0-3 (12.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Saumur win it was 1-0 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
SaumurDrawToulouse
6.83%15.86%77.3%
Both teams to score 35.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39%47.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19%69.81%
Saumur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.05%59.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.37%90.62%
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57%10.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66%34%
Score Analysis
    Saumur 6.83%
    Toulouse 77.29%
    Draw 15.86%
SaumurDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 3.2%
2-1 @ 1.85%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 6.83%
1-1 @ 7.23%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 15.86%
0-2 @ 15.97%
0-1 @ 14.13%
0-3 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-4 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 6.16%
1-4 @ 3.48%
0-5 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.57%
0-6 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 77.29%

How you voted: Saumur vs Toulouse

Saumur
21.4%
Draw
0.0%
Toulouse
78.6%
14