Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
2 - 1
Racing

Candia (23'), Suso (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Chancalay (40')
Schelotto (42'), Americo Benavidez (48'), Soraire (53'), Novillo (70'), Picco (77')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Racing Club.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawRacing Club
28.08%26.12%45.8%
Both teams to score 50.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91%53.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33%74.66%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27%33.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61%70.39%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87%23.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01%56.99%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 28.08%
    Racing Club 45.8%
    Draw 26.12%
Arsenal SarandiDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.08%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 4.44%
0-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 45.8%

rhs 2.0


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