Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 4pm UK
Polideportivo Santa Ana

Ursaria
1 - 2
Cayon

Diaz (29')
Perez (62'), Lopez (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanz (22'), Alonso (72')
Gabi (81')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Ursaria and Cayon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ursaria

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cayon

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ursaria win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Cayon had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ursaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cayon win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
UrsariaDrawCayon
43.98% (0.15199999999999 0.15)26.74% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)29.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 49.81% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (0.123 0.12)54.89% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (0.1 0.1)76.18% (-0.105 -0.11)
Ursaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.13000000000001 0.13)24.79% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.182 0.18)59.37% (-0.188 -0.19)
Cayon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)33.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (-0.02 -0.02)70.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ursaria 43.98%
    Cayon 29.28%
    Draw 26.73%
UrsariaDrawCayon
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 29.28%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Ursaria