Saint Vincent and the Grenadines national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Arnos Vale Ground

St Vincent & Gr.
1 - 4
French Guiana

Sutherland (29')
Stewart (5'), Alexander (9'), Edwards (62')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Nemouthe (7'), Abelinti (10' pen.), Baal (42'), Haabo (81')
Letard (35'), Kago (68')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and French Guiana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 4-3 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

French Guiana

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 0-2 Belize
Tuesday, September 12 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a French Guiana win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a French Guiana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 0-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that French Guiana would win this match.

Result
Saint Vincent & the GrenadinesDrawFrench Guiana
19.34% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)20.86% (0.061 0.06)59.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (-0.382 -0.38)39.14% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (-0.403 -0.4)61.47% (0.401 0.4)
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.29100000000001 -0.29)33.76% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.318 -0.32)70.42% (0.316 0.32)
French Guiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.119 -0.12)12.75% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.99% (-0.245 -0.24)39.01% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 19.34%
    French Guiana 59.8%
    Draw 20.86%
Saint Vincent & the GrenadinesDrawFrench Guiana
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.34%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.27% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 59.8%