Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
