Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 32

Apr 5, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Leuven
2 - 3
Genk

Mercier (74'), Henry (90+2')
Ngawa (25')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thorstvedt (7'), Bongonda (81'), Onuachu (83')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Genk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Genk
24.38%	22.08%	53.53%

Both teams to score 60.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58%

38.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.29%

60.7%

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16%

28.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3%

64.69%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57%

14.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.64%

42.35%

Score Analysis

Leuven 24.38%

Genk 53.53%

Draw 22.08%

Leuven	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 6.23% 1-0 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 3.22% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.35% Total : 24.38%	1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.03% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.53%

How you voted: Leuven vs Genk

Leuven

20.0%

Draw

20.0%

Genk

60.0%

Leuven2 - 3Genk

Data Analysis

How you voted: Leuven vs Genk

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Leuven
2 - 3
Genk