Smolevichi

4 - 1

Gorodeya

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smolevichi win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smolevichi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Smolevichi would win this match.