Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 65.47%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Smolevichi had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Smolevichi win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.