Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
