Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
