AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2020 at 1pm UK
Singha Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Chiangrai
2 - 2
Victory

Tiatrakul (47'), Verzura (83')
Singmui (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brimmer (8' pen.), Folami (27')
Brimmer (43'), Acton (45+1'), Ryan (80')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Chiangrai United and Melbourne Victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chiangrai United win with a probability of 43%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chiangrai United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Chiangrai UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
43%25.59%31.41%
Both teams to score 54.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6%49.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55%71.44%
Chiangrai United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13%22.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38%56.61%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.43%
Score Analysis
    Chiangrai United 43%
    Melbourne Victory 31.41%
    Draw 25.58%
Chiangrai UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.41%