2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
2 - 0
Jahn

Burgstaller (27'), Marmoush (49')
Zalazar (9'), Burgstaller (79'), Matanovic (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saller (65'), Elvedi (79'), Gimber (79')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Jahn Regensburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawJahn Regensburg
42.25%25.23%32.52%
Both teams to score 56.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54%47.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33%69.67%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6%22.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09%55.9%
Jahn Regensburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25%27.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.32%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 42.25%
    Jahn Regensburg 32.52%
    Draw 25.23%
St PauliDrawJahn Regensburg
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.52%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Jahn

St Pauli
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Jahn Regensburg
0.0%
5