Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
