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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
4 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Glatzel (14'), Kittel (45+1'), Heyer (75'), Reis (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Strauss (48')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Erzgebirge Aue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Bayreuth vs. Hamburger SV
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Erzgebirge Aue

Last Six:
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawErzgebirge Aue
67.9%17.87%14.23%
Both teams to score 57.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.41%34.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.47%56.53%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.67%9.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.54%31.46%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08%36.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3%73.7%
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 67.9%
    Erzgebirge Aue 14.23%
    Draw 17.87%
Hamburger SVDrawErzgebirge Aue
2-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 8.17%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 7.64%
4-0 @ 4.54%
4-1 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.81%
4-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 2.15%
5-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 67.9%
1-1 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.87%
1-2 @ 4.06%
0-1 @ 3.43%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.6%
1-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 14.23%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs Erzgebirge Aue

Hamburger SV
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Erzgebirge Aue
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 5.30pm
Erzgebirge Aue
1-1
Hamburger SV
Jonjic (23')
Zolinski (32'), Fandrich (60')
Messeguem (69')
Carlson (90+4' og.)
Wintzheimer (30'), Kittel (32'), Suhonen (79')
Feb 5, 2021 5.30pm
Erzgebirge Aue
3-3
Hamburger SV
Hochscheidt (26'), Fandrich (50'), Kruger (62')
Samson (76')
Terodde (14', 29'), Kinsombi (22')
Ambrosius (60')
Oct 21, 2020 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
3-0
Erzgebirge Aue
Wintzheimer (17'), Kittel (57'), Narey (72')

Zolinski (59')
Feb 29, 2020 12pm
Erzgebirge Aue
3-0
Hamburger SV
Testroet (39'), Hochscheidt (74', 88')
Baumgart (16'), Mannel (59')

Hunt (38'), Jung (45'), Beyer (56'), van Drongelen (75')
Jung (58')
Sep 22, 2019 12.30pm
Hamburger SV
4-0
Erzgebirge Aue
Vagnoman (18'), Hinterseer (32'), Harnik (47'), Hunt (62')
van Drongelen (70')

Daferner (37'), Fandrich (66'), Strauss (75')