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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Imtech Arena

Hamburger SV
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Wintzheimer (17'), Kittel (57'), Narey (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zolinski (59')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawErzgebirge Aue
54.79%23.87%21.34%
Both teams to score 51.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13%48.87%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23%37.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45%74.54%
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 54.78%
    Erzgebirge Aue 21.34%
    Draw 23.86%
Hamburger SVDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.34%

rhs 2.0


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