Ingolstadt
3 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue

Schmidt (25'), Musliu (28'), Poulsen (90+1')
Gaus (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jonjic (69'), Gonther (89')
Zolinski (38'), Nazarov (56')
Osei Owusu (7')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
48.68%	25.83%	25.48%

Both teams to score 49.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39%

53.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89%

75.11%

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96%

22.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63%

55.37%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86%

36.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08%

72.92%

Score Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 48.68%

Erzgebirge Aue 25.48%

Draw 25.83%

FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.68%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.48%