2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Audi Sportpark
Ingolstadt3 - 2Erzgebirge Aue
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hannover 3-2 Ingolstadt
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Ingolstadt vs. SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | -40 | 26 |
| 18 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | -35 | 21 |
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | -40 | 26 |
| 18 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | -35 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 48.68% | 25.83% | 25.48% |
| Both teams to score 49.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
