Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 3
Holstein Kiel

Trujic (79'), Hochscheidt (84')
Bussmann (9'), Nazarov (33'), Fandrich (62'), Kuhn (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bartels (19'), Gonther (38' og.), Okyere Wriedt (90')
Neumann (44'), Okyere Wriedt (83'), Dahne (90+2')

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Holstein Kiel
25.18%	24.46%	50.36%

Both teams to score 53.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68%

48.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54%

70.47%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47%

33.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83%

70.17%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1%

50.9%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 25.18%

Holstein Kiel 50.35%

Draw 24.46%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 7.04% 2-1 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.18%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.27% 0-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.35%