Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.