World Cup
Spain
Jul 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Los Angeles Stadium
Belgium
  • Fabián Ruiz 30' goal
  • Pau Cubarsí 43' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 88' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 41'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 85'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 90'+5'

Spain vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Belgium

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Spain 47.5% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 24.3%
Belgium 28.2% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.5% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71%
Under 1.5 22.29%
Over 2.5 54.35%
Under 2.5 45.65%
Over 3.5 32.15%
Under 3.5 67.85%
Over 4.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Spain Goals

Over 1.5 47.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 52.62% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 22.24% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 77.76% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 8.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.55% ▼ (-0.08)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 64.22% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 35.78% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 31.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 68.49% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 11.72% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 88.28% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.4% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Spain 47.5%
Draw 24.3%
Belgium 28.2%
Spain
1-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.3%
Belgium
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 28.2%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Belgium
Sep 1, 2016 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Spain
  • goal David Silva 34'
  • goal David Silva 62'
International Friendlies
Belgium
Nov 17, 2015 7.45pm
Spain

Form Data

Portugal 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 3 - 0 Austria
Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 4 - 0 Saudi Arabia
Spain 0 - 0 Cape Verde
Peru 1 - 3 Spain
USA 1 - 4 Belgium
Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal
New Zealand 1 - 5 Belgium
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran
Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt
Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia

Build-up

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