World Cup
Jul 14, 2026 8.00pm
Dallas Stadium

France vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Spain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for France has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest France win is 2-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.08%).

Result

France 35.5%
Draw 23.2%
Spain 41.35% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.45% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.34% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 16.66% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 63.1% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 36.9% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 41.35% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 58.65% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 25.87% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 74.13% (-0.39)

France Goals

Over 1.5 42.34% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 57.66% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 19.51% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 80.49% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 7.51% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 92.49% (-0.15)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 75.88% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.12% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 47.32% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 52.68% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 23.18% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 76.82% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 9.42% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 90.58% (-0.16)

Score analysis

France 35.51%
Draw 23.2%
Spain 41.37%
France
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.06% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.09% (+0.13)
Total : 35.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.04% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.42% (+0.02)
Total : 23.2%
Spain
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 3.81% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.1%
Other @ 9% (+0.15)
Total : 41.37%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 5, 2025 8.00pm
5
4
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nico Williams 22' goal
  • Mikel Merino 25' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 33' yellowcard
  • Lamine Yamal 54' goal
  • Pedri 55' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 67' goal
  • Gavi 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 51'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 59'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 79'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 82'
  • goal Daniel Vivian 84' (OG)
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Randal Kolo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 90'+6'
Nations League
Jun 5, 2025 8.00pm
MHPArena, Stuttgart
European Championship
Jul 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Jesus Navas 14' yellowcard
  • Lamine Yamal 21' goal
  • Dani Olmo 25' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Randal Kolo 9'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 60'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 89'
Nations League
Oct 10, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 64' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Pogba 46'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 66'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 80'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 90'
International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2017 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adrien Rabiot 19' yellowcard
  • Christophe Jallet 55' yellowcard
  • goal David Silva 68'
  • goal Gerard Deulofeu 77'
International Friendlies
Sep 4, 2014 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Loic Remy 73' goal

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions