World Cup Gameweek 3
Norway
Jun 26, 2026 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Boston Stadium
France
  • Patrick Berg 10' yellowcard
  • Thelo Aasgaard 21' goal
  • goal Ousmane Dembélé 7'
  • goal Ousmane Dembélé 20'
  • goal Ousmane Dembélé 32'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Tchouaméni 74'
  • goal Désiré Doué 90'+4'

Norway vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 1.00am
Norway 3 - 2 Senegal

France

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 10.00pm
France 3 - 0 Iraq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Norway had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Norway win was 2-1 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%).

Result

Norway 28.75% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 22.4% ▼ (-0.06)
France 48.85% ▲ (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.65% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 63.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 36.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 41.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 58.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 26.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 73.74% ▲ (+0.10)

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 36.08% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 63.92% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 14.99% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 85.01% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 5.17% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.83% ▲ (+0.16)

France Goals

Over 0.5 80.45% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 19.55% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 53.44% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 46.56% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 28.33% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 71.67% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 12.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 87.5% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Norway 28.75%
Draw 22.4%
France 48.85%
Norway
2-1 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 28.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.4%
France
1-2 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.14% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 48.85%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
France
May 27, 2014 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Norway
  • Paul Pogba 15' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 51' goal
  • Loic Remy 67' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 69' goal
  • yellowcard Alexander Tettey 44'

Form Data

Norway 3 - 2 Senegal
Iraq 1 - 4 Norway
Morocco 1 - 1 Norway
Norway 3 - 1 Sweden
Norway 0 - 0 Switzerland
Netherlands 2 - 1 Norway
France 3 - 0 Iraq
France 3 - 1 Senegal
France 3 - 1 N. Ireland
France 1 - 2 Ivory Coast
Colombia 1 - 3 France
Brazil 1 - 2 France

Build-up

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