World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 8.00pm
Boston Stadium

Norway vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 1.00am
Norway 3 - 2 Senegal

France

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 10.00pm
France 3 - 0 Iraq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Norway has a probability of 29% and a draw has a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Norway win is 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10%).

Result

Norway 29% (-0.50)
Draw 22.65% (+0.10)
France 48.35% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.95% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.02% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 16.98% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 62.6% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 37.4% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 40.75% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 59.25% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 25.57% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 74.43% (+0.14)

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 35.88% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 64.12% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 14.82% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 85.18% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 5.08% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.92% (+0.13)

France Goals

Over 0.5 79.93% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 20.07% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 52.58% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 47.42% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 27.62% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 72.38% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 12.11% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 87.89% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Norway 29%
Draw 22.65%
France 48.35%
Norway
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.72% (-0.15)
Total : 29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 22.65%
France
1-2 @ 9.11% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.26% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.57% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.66% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.05% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.95%
Other @ 11.75% (+0.03)
Total : 48.35%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
May 27, 2014 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Pogba 15' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 51' goal
  • Loic Remy 67' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 69' goal
  • yellowcard Alexander Tettey 44'