World Cup
France
Jun 30, 2026 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT New York New Jersey Stadium
Sweden
  • Kylian Mbappé 45' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 53' goal
  • Kylian Mbappé 74' goal

France vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Sweden

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%) , while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

France 59.7%
Draw 21% ▼ (-0.06)
Sweden 19.3% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 18.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 59.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 40.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 37.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 62.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.56% ▼ (-0.01)

France Goals

Over 1.5 58.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 41.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 32.51%
Under 2.5 67.49%
Over 3.5 14.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 85.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 55.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 44.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

France 59.68%
Draw 21%
Sweden 19.3%
France
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 14.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 59.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 21%
Sweden
1-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.3%

Head to Head

Nations League
France
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Sweden
  • Olivier Giroud 16' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 36' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 59' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 90'+5' goal
  • goal Viktor Claesson 5'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Olsson 28'
  • goal Robin Quaison 88'
Nations League
Sweden
Sep 5, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Friends Arena
France
  • Victor Lindelof 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 3'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 41'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sweden
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
France
  • Jimmy Durmaz 43' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 93' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 37'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
France
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sweden
  • Paul Pogba 58' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 65' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 55'
International Friendlies
France
Nov 18, 2014 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sweden
  • Raphael Varane 84' goal
  • yellowcard Oscar Wendt 85'
European Championship
Sweden
Jun 19, 2012 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
France

Form Data

Norway 1 - 4 France
France 3 - 0 Iraq
France 3 - 1 Senegal
France 3 - 1 N. Ireland
France 1 - 2 Ivory Coast
Colombia 1 - 3 France
Japan 1 - 1 Sweden
Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden
Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia
Sweden 2 - 2 Greece
Norway 3 - 1 Sweden
Sweden 3 - 2 Poland

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