World Cup
Jun 30, 2026 10.00pm
New York New Jersey Stadium

France vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Sweden

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a 1st Group I win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw has a probability of 20.9% and a win for 3rd Group C/D/F/G/H has a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a 1st Group I win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.7%) , while for a 3rd Group C/D/F/G/H win it is 1-2 (5.08%).

Result

France 60.25%
Draw 20.9%
Sweden 18.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.31%
Under 1.5 18.69%
Over 2.5 59.55%
Under 2.5 40.45%
Over 3.5 37.2%
Under 3.5 62.8%
Over 4.5 23.52%
Under 4.5 76.48%

France Goals

Over 1.5 59.35%
Under 1.5 40.65%
Over 2.5 32.89%
Under 2.5 67.11%
Over 3.5 14.94%
Under 3.5 85.06%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 55.27%
Under 0.5 44.73%
Over 1.5 24.21%
Under 1.5 75.79%
Over 2.5 7.95%
Under 2.5 92.05%
Over 3.5 2.19%
Under 3.5 97.81%

Score analysis

France 60.26%
Draw 20.9%
Sweden 18.85%
France
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 6.49%
3-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 14.75%
Total : 60.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.9%
Sweden
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2%
Total : 18.85%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Olivier Giroud 16' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 36' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 59' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 90'+5' goal
  • goal Viktor Claesson 5'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Olsson 28'
  • goal Robin Quaison 88'
Nations League
Sep 5, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Friends Arena
  • Victor Lindelof 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 3'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 41'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jimmy Durmaz 43' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 93' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 37'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Pogba 58' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 65' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 55'
International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2014 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raphael Varane 84' goal
  • yellowcard Oscar Wendt 85'
European Championship
Jun 19, 2012 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT