World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 21, 2025 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Francistown Stadium
  • Thabang Sesinyi 37' yellowcard
  • Tebogo Kopelang 70' goal
  • Thero Setsile 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adem Zorgane 42'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 44'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 52'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 74'

Botswana vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 10, 2024 2.00pm
Somalia 1 - 3 Botswana

Algeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 10, 2024 5.00pm
Uganda 1 - 2 Algeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result

Botswana 18.35% (-0.15)
Draw 26.06% (-0.14)
Algeria 55.59% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.78% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.07% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 60.93% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 19.06% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 80.94% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 7.8% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 92.2% (-0.12)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 52.36% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 47.64% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 17.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 82.97% (+0.02)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 77.88% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 22.12% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 44.51% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 55.49% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Botswana 18.35%
Draw 26.05%
Algeria 55.58%
Botswana
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 10.53% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.05%
Algeria
0-1 @ 15.89% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 11.99% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.89% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.03% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.47% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 2.28% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 55.58%