World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
1 - 3
Algeria

Kopelang (70')
Sesinyi (37'), Setsile (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gouiri (44'), El Amine Amoura (52', 74')
Zorgane (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Botswana and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Algeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Liberia
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Algeria
18.35% ( -0.15)	26.06% ( -0.14)	55.59% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 40.78% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.07% (

0.28)

60.93% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.06% (

0.21)

80.94% (

-0.21)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.36% (

-0.01)

47.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

-0.01)

82.97% (

0.01)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.24)

22.12% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.36)

55.49% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Botswana 18.35%

Algeria 55.58%

Draw 26.05%

Botswana	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.35%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 15.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 11.99% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.58%