Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2023 at 9.30am UK

Allianz Stadium

England Women
1 - 0
Denmark Women

James (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

England Women are on the cusp of reaching the knockout stages of the Women's World Cup thanks to a nervy 1-0 victory over Denmark Women in Sydney.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between England Women and Denmark Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: England Women 1-0 Haiti Women
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Women	1	1	3
2	Denmark Women	1	1	3
3	China PR Women	1	-1	0
4	Haiti Women	1	-1	0

Denmark Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Denmark Women 1-0 China PR Women
Saturday, July 22 at 1pm in Women's World Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Women	1	1	3
2	Denmark Women	1	1	3
3	China PR Women	1	-1	0
4	Haiti Women	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 87.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Denmark Women had a probability of 3.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 4-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%), while for a Denmark Women win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
England Women	Draw	Denmark Women
87.29% ( -0.02)	9.15% ( 0.01)	3.56% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 38.3% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.61% (

0.06)

30.39% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.34% (

0.07)

51.66% (

-0.07)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.4% (

0.01)

4.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.25% (

0.02)

18.75% (

-0.02)

Denmark Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.14% (

0.12)

59.85% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.42% (

0.06)

90.58% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

England Women 87.27%

Denmark Women 3.56%

Draw 9.15%

England Women	Draw	Denmark Women
3-0 @ 13.39% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.26% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.08% Total : 87.27%	1-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 9.15%	0-1 @ 1.41% 1-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.03% Total : 3.56%