Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 93.03%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Haiti Women had a probability of 1.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.16%) and 2-0 (12.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.55%), while for a Haiti Women win it was 0-1 (0.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
England Women	Draw	Haiti Women
93.03% ( 0.08)	5.44% ( -0.05)	1.53% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 30.19% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.59% (

0.06)

24.41% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.85% (

0.08)

44.15% (

-0.08)

England Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.23% (

0.02)

2.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.31% (

0.07)

12.69% (

-0.07)

Haiti Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.05% (

-0.19)

68.95% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.42% (

-0.07)

94.58% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

England Women 93.01%

Haiti Women 1.53%

Draw 5.44%

England Women	Draw	Haiti Women
3-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.27% 5-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 2.1% 8-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 93.01%	1-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 5.44%	Other @ 1.53% Total : 1.53%