Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin

PSG
0 - 1
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bright (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain Women

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Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Chelsea Women

All competitions
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawChelsea Women
38.59% (0.213 0.21)23.34% (0.026999999999997 0.03)38.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 64.02% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.159 -0.16)37.57% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.169 -0.17)59.8% (0.16 0.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)19.86% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)20.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (-0.3 -0.3)52.37% (0.29 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 38.59%
    Chelsea Women 38.06%
    Draw 23.34%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 38.06%

How you voted: PSG vs Chelsea Women

Paris Saint-Germain Women
28.6%
Draw
33.3%
Chelsea Women
38.1%
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