Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 29
May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Chornomorets
Dynamo Kiev

Chornomorets
1 - 1
Dynamo Kiev

Khoblenko (68')
Khoblenko (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yarmolenko (18', 54' pen.)
Mykhailenko (31'), Shaparenko (56')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vorskla 1-2 Chornomorets
Saturday, May 10 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 0-0 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, May 9 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.84%) and 0-3 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawDynamo Kiev
8.38% (0.127 0.13)16.59% (0.049999999999997 0.05)75.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 40.76% (0.382 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (0.193 0.19)45.33% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (0.182 0.18)67.67% (-0.18199999999999 -0.18)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.5% (0.424 0.42)54.5% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.42% (0.256 0.26)87.58% (-0.255 -0.25)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 8.38%
    Dynamo Kiev 75.02%
    Draw 16.59%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.37% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 8.38%
1-1 @ 7.8% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.68% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.59%
0-2 @ 14.52% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-1 @ 12.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 10.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.65% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.76% (0.021 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.02 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 75.02%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dynamo Kiev
3-1
Chornomorets
Vanat (16'), Buyalskyy (69'), Rubchynskyi (88')
Vivcharenko (90+1')
Skyba (90+2')
Jarju (71')
Mar 2, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dynamo Kiev
1-0
Chornomorets
Shepelev (38')
Brazhko (26'), Kabaiev (36')

Gomes (78')
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Chornomorets
3-2
Dynamo Kiev
Avagimian (20'), Shtohrin (53'), Iyede (90')
Putria (39'), Boychuk (54'), Iyede (82')
Yarmolenko (48'), Sydorchuk (60')
Syrota (51'), Dyachuk (53')
Syrota (83')
May 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Dynamo Kiev
2-3
Chornomorets
Vanat (53'), Buyalskyy (55')
Benito (22'), Dyachuk (56'), Dubinchak (72')
Ermakov (4'), Demchenko (11', 70')
Salyuk (76')
Nov 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Chornomorets
0-3
Dynamo Kiev
Tsygankov (25' pen.), Buyalskyy (48'), Vanat (90+2' pen.)