Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.