Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 10, 2025 at 11am UK

Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
1 - 2
Chornomorets

Ndukwe (43')
(74'), Ostrovskyi (74'), Sklyar (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Khoblenko (77'), Jarju (82')
(8'), Carlos (8'), Siheiev (47'), Khoblenko (77')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions

Last Game: Kovalivka 0-0 Vorskla
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions

Last Game: Chornomorets 0-3 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
50.35% ( -0.36)	25.36% ( 0.18)	24.29% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 50.03% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

-0.57)

52.72% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

-0.49)

74.36% (

0.49)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.38)

20.96% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

-0.6)

53.71% (

0.6)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3% (

-0.16)

36.7% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51% (

-0.16)

73.49% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Vorskla Poltava 50.34%

Chornomorets Odesa 24.29%

Draw 25.36%

Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.34%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.29%