Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.