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World Cup

Suriname national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 5, 2024 at 10pm UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines national football team

Suriname
4 - 1
St Vincent & Gr.

Becker (39' pen.), Hilterman (45+2'), Lonwijk (46'), Montnor (70')
Vaessen (22'), Abena (33'), Denswil (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Anderson (31')
Francis (81')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Suriname and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Martinique
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions
Last Game: Grenada 0-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Sunday, May 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
SurinameDrawSaint Vincent & the Grenadines
71.98% (0.489 0.49)16.81% (-0.355 -0.36)11.21% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.44% (0.866 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (1.349 1.35)37.35% (-1.346 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (1.436 1.44)59.56% (-1.433 -1.43)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.46199999999999 0.46)9.1% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (1.087 1.09)30.92% (-1.086 -1.09)
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (0.669 0.67)43.4% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (0.553 0.55)79.63% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Suriname 71.97%
    Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 11.21%
    Draw 16.81%
SurinameDrawSaint Vincent & the Grenadines
2-0 @ 11.34% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.422 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.57% (0.122 0.12)
4-0 @ 5.43% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.107 0.11)
5-0 @ 2.6% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.102 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.04% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 71.97%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 16.81%
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 11.21%

How you voted: Suriname vs St Vincent & Gr.

Suriname
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines
50.0%
10