Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
Jul 8, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Saturn Stadion
Lokomotiv Moscow

Spartak Moscow
1 - 1
Lokomotiv

Ponce (38')
Ponce (13'), Bakaev (45+1'), Dzhikiya (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miranchuk (42' pen.)
Rybus (3'), Kulikov (8'), Magkeev (27')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawLokomotiv Moscow
46.23%25.83%27.94%
Both teams to score 51.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.76%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52%22.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96%56.04%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71%33.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1%69.9%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 46.22%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 27.94%
    Draw 25.83%
Spartak MoscowDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.94%