Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leeds United Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 28.54% | 20.43% | 51.03% |
| Both teams to score 71.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.22% | 46.79% |
| Aston Villa Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% | 19.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.31% | 51.69% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% | 11.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.61% | 35.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 6.33% 3-2 @ 3.78% 1-0 @ 3.54% 3-1 @ 3.43% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 6.97% 3-3 @ 2.77% 0-0 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.47% 2-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.53% 3-4 @ 1.53% 2-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.03% |


