Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%).
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chorley |
| 46.05% | 25.23% | 28.72% |
| Both teams to score 54.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% | 49.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% | 71.18% |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% | 21.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% | 31.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% | 67.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.72% |