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Malta national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Italy national football team

Malta
0 - 2
Italy

FT(HT: 0-2)
Retegui (15'), Pessina (27')
Di Lorenzo (36'), Scalvini (54')

Preview: Malta vs. Italy - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both beaten in their opening game of Euro 2024 qualifying, Malta and reigning European champions Italy meet in Ta'Qali on Sunday.

While the hosts lost 2-1 to the Italians' World Cup playoff nemesis North Macedonia, their neighbours suffered a home defeat to Group C favourites England.


Match preview

Italy's Mateo Retegui celebrates scoring their first goal on March 23, 2023© Reuters

Following a turgid first 45 minutes at Stadio Maradona in midweek, Italy's defence of their continental crown had made a miserable start, and though Roberto Mancini's men fought back to push England close, they came away from Naples empty-handed.

One of the few highlights from an Italian perspective was the goalscoring debut of Argentina-born striker Mateo Retegui, who was drafted into the squad via the infamous 'grandparent rule', despite having never before played in Italy.

Decimated by injury, and lacking both energy and confidence following their latest World Cup qualifying debacle, the Azzurri proved a pale shadow of the side which lifted the European Championship trophy in the summer of 2021.

Though they managed to top their Nations League group - also featuring England - over the intervening period, they already trail the Three Lions in the race to win Group C and reach next year's finals in style. Avoiding the playoffs at all cost will be high on Mancini's agenda given the events of recent years, so securing at least a top-two finish is La Nazionale's minimum requirement.

Fortunately for the former Manchester City coach, his team will have the chance to bounce back quickly in Malta this weekend, in their final fixture before June's Nations League finale kicks off with a semi-final against Spain.

Before finally falling to England on Thursday, Italy had won each of their previous 14 qualification games and were unbeaten in 40. Having also beaten their Mediterranean neighbours in all eight past qualifying encounters, they will expect to get off the mark with a first win of the campaign.

Malta's Joseph Mbong celebrates scoring against Russia on March 24, 2021© Reuters

Group C minnows Malta travelled to Skopje on Thursday, and an opening-day defeat to North Macedonia already leaves them staring at a last-placed finish.

Despite holding out for over an hour, Napoli's Eljif Elmas broke the deadlock midway through the second half, and after conceding again six minutes later, FIFA's 167th-ranked nation could only reply with a late consolation goal from Yannick Yankam.

Having lost his first match as Malta's head coach following his appointment to the role in December, former Italy Under-18 international Michele Marcolini now faces the country of his birth in an even more challenging encounter.

The Falcons have never made it to a major finals before - no surprise given their stature in the European game - and in a group also featuring Ukraine they may do well to even tally a couple of points in their remaining qualifiers.

Having only finished ahead of San Marino in their most recent Nations League group, optimism was already thin on the ground, and Marcolini's men could be in for a rough ride over the coming months - particularly on Sunday evening.

Malta Euro Champ Qualifying form:


Malta form (all competitions):


Italy Euro Champ Qualifying form:


Italy form (all competitions):



Team News

Italy manager Roberto Mancini pictured on March 23, 2023© Reuters

In response to an underwhelming display from his starting XI in midweek, Roberto Mancini is set to make several changes to Italy's lineup on Sunday.

The loss of Ciro Immobile, Giacomo Raspadori and Federico Chiesa to injury leaves Mateo Retegui in prime position to hold off the claims of Gianluca Scamacca up front, but Wilfried Gnonto may start after making a brief cameo in Campania. Freiburg's set-piece specialist Vincenzo Grifo was among those excluded from Thursday's squad entirely but should expect to feature in Ta'Qali.

In addition to the attacking talent unavailable to Mancini, Inter pair Alessandro Bastoni and Federico Dimarco are sidelined, while both Nicolo Barella and Leonardo Bonucci have now returned to their respective clubs due to injury.

Malta, meanwhile, saw their own new boy Yannick Yankam score on his first international appearance earlier this week, and the Birkirkara midfielder will hope to be promoted to the starting side against Italy.

Yankam's clubmate Enrico Pepe joins Valletta's Triston Caruana in missing out through injury, but the Falcons came through Tuesday's game relatively unscathed.

After Michele Marcolini named an attacking 3-4-1-2 formation against North Macedonia, with Union Saint-Gilloise star Teddy Teuma supporting a two-man strike force of Alexander Satariano and Paul Mbong, the hosts may be more inclined to pick an extra midfielder on Sunday.

Malta possible starting lineup:
Bonello; Attard, S. Borg, Apap; J. Mbong, Kristensen, Guillaumier, Yankam, Camenzuli; Teuma; Satariano

Italy possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Darmian, Scalvini, Romagnoli, Spinazzola; Cristante, Verratti, Tonali; Politano, Retegui, Gnonto


SM words green background

We say: Malta 0-2 Italy

Italy were unimpressive as an attacking force in their Euro qualifying opener, but a number of fringe players - such as Gnonto, Grifo and Politano - could now come to the fore against less demanding opponents. Malta may have shown signs of improvement, but denying the Azzurri victory this weekend is a feat beyond their wildest dreams.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

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Game History

How you voted: Malta vs Italy

Malta
12.4%
Draw
7.2%
Italy
80.4%
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Italy manager Roberto Mancini on September 23, 2022
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain870121
Q Scotland flag Scotland852117
3 Norway Norway832311
4 Georgia Georgia82248
5 Cyprus Cyprus80080

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France871022
Q Netherlands Netherlands860218
3 Greece Greece841313
4 Ireland Rep. Ireland82066
5 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar80080

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England862020
Q Italy Italy842214
3 Ukraine Ukraine842214
4 Macedonia N. Macedonia82248
5 Malta flag Malta80080

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Turkey Turkey852117
Q Croatia Croatia851216
3 Wales flag Wales833212
4 Armenia Armenia82248
5 Latvia Latvia81073

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Albania national flag Albania843115
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic843115
3 Poland Poland832311
4 Republic of Moldova Moldova824210
5 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands80262

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Belgium Belgium862020
Q Austria Austria861119
3 Sweden Sweden831410
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan82157
5 Estonia Estonia80171

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Hungary Hungary853018
Q Serbia Serbia842214
3 Montenegro Montenegro832311
4 Lithuania Lithuania81346
5 Bulgaria Bulgaria80444

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Denmark Denmark1071222
Q Slovenia Slovenia1071222
3 Finland Finland1060418
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan1060418
5 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland103079
6 San Marino flag San Marino1000100

Group I

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania1064022
Q Switzerland Switzerland1045117
3 Israel Israel1043315
4 Belarus Belarus1033412
5 Kosovo flag Kosovo1025311
6 Andorra flag Andorra100282

Group J

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal10100030
Q Slovakia Slovakia1071222
3 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg1052317
4 Iceland Iceland1031610
5 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina103079
6 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein1000100


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