Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
| 54.49% | 23.82% | 21.68% |
| Both teams to score 51.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% | 71.17% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% | 17.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% | 48.71% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% | 37.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.09% | 73.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.68% |