Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nimes |
| 56.54% | 23.36% | 20.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% | 49.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% | 71.16% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% | 17.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% | 47.4% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% | 38.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.54% | 75.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nimes |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.3% 1-2 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.1% |