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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Houston Dynamo

Minnesota Utd
1 - 0
Houston

Hlongwane (14')
Trapp (30'), Hlongwane (40'), Dotson (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Micael (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, May 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 0-0 Houston Dynamo

Minnesota have been leaking goals of late but now face a Houston side without their top-two attacking threats in the form of Bassi and Herrera. The visitors are likely to struggle to create many clear-cut chances at Allianz Field, although we believe they should be good enough for a point.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
55.22% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 21.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.86% (-0.073 -0.07)47.14% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)69.38% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)16.93% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.01% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)46.99% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.22% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 55.22%
    Houston Dynamo 21.48%
    Draw 23.3%
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.23% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.48%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Houston

Minnesota United
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Houston Dynamo
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Houston
Picault (79' og.), Amarilla (84')
Reynoso (43')
Baird (45+1')
Carrasquilla (37'), Steres (63'), Parker (78')
Jul 24, 2022 1.30am
Sep 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 35
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Houston
Lod (1'), Finlay (17')
Reynoso (40')

Quintero (41'), Junqua (72')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 28
Houston
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Carrasquilla (1')
Dorsey (61'), Hadebe (73'), Valentin (77')
Hunou (16', 73')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
gameweek 23
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Houston
Lod (14'), Kallman (71')

Rodriguez (21'), Junqua (21'), Jones (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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