Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Ioannidis (90+9' pen.)
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')
Panathinaikos win 4-2 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
We say: Marseille 2-0 Panathinaikos (Marseille win 2-1 on aggregate)
Marseille will fancy their chances of turning this tie around on home soil, and it is set to be a fascinating contest on Tuesday night. Panathinaikos deserve a lot of respect, but the French outfit have enough quality to overcome the one-goal deficit in order to progress to the playoff round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Panathinaikos |
54.34% ( -0.01) | 23.88% ( 0) | 21.77% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.77% ( -0) | 49.22% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.71% ( -0.01) | 71.28% ( 0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.98% ( -0.01) | 18.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.11% ( -0.01) | 48.88% ( 0.01) |
Panathinaikos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( 0.01) | 37.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.11% ( 0.01) | 73.88% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille 54.34%
Panathinaikos 21.77%
Draw 23.87%
Marseille | Draw | Panathinaikos |
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.77% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Panathinaikos
Marseille
84.9%Draw
7.5%Panathinaikos
7.5%53
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 14:26:17
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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