MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 04:00:05| >> :600:3135775:3135775:
Forest Green Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn
Shrewsbury Town

Forest Green
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kadji (36'), Omotoye (61'), Stevens (65')
Robson (45+1'), McKenzie (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Forest Green Rovers and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Forest Green performed excellently in the group stage of this competition last season and they will be determined to end their losing streak on their home patch on Tuesday. Despite competing one division below their forthcoming opponents, the hosts arguably have greater strength in depth in attack to call upon, and we can envisage this helping them beat Shrewsbury. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawShrewsbury Town
29.65% (0.151 0.15) 26.42% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 43.92% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.95% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.122 0.12)53.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (0.104 0.1)75.03% (-0.107 -0.11)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (0.176 0.18)32.76% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (0.196 0.2)69.32% (-0.199 -0.2)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.22% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)58.56% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 29.66%
    Shrewsbury Town 43.92%
    Draw 26.42%
Forest Green RoversDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.66%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.92%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Shrewsbury

Forest Green Rovers
66.7%
Draw
19.0%
Shrewsbury Town
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Shrewsbury
2-1
Forest Green
Pyke (90+4'), Bowman (90+8')
Garrick (18')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Forest Green
0-2
Shrewsbury

O'Keeffe (44'), Stevenson (45+9'), McGee (72')
Pyke (10'), Shipley (48')
Bayliss (72'), Moore (83')
rhs 2.0
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