Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.