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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
Jun 9, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Shanghai Stadium

Dalian Pro
2 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Manzoki (16', 45+1')
He (59'), Lin (68'), Yan (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lin (77' og.), Kang (86' pen.)
Chengdong (57'), Boxuan (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Pro and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 2-0 Dalian Pro
Saturday, June 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-3 Changchun
Friday, June 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Dalian Pro 1-3 Beijing Guoan

Given Dalian's struggles at both ends of the pitch, Beijing will fancy themselves to get the job done and come away with all three points. We are tipping the visitors to carry the day without breaking too much sweat in should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Dalian ProDrawBeijing Guoan
29.16% (-0.345 -0.34) 25.86% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 44.98% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (-0.426 -0.43)51.51% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (-0.373 -0.37)73.31% (0.372 0.37)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.47500000000001 -0.48)32.09% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.543 -0.54)68.57% (0.541 0.54)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.84% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-0.073 -0.07)56.57% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Pro 29.16%
    Beijing Guoan 44.98%
    Draw 25.86%
Dalian ProDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.98%

How you voted: Dalian Pro vs Beijing Guoan

Dalian Pro
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Beijing Guoan
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2022 7.30am
gameweek 29
Beijing Guoan
1-3
Dalian Pro
Ziming (90+2')
Liangming (49', 78'), Peng (88')
Sep 24, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 17
Dalian Pro
2-2
Beijing Guoan
Tsonev (7'), Manzoki (83')
Xizhe (25'), Zhang (81')
Jul 31, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 10
Dalian Pro
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Wang (47'), Boateng (74')
Bakambu (75' pen.)
Yang (29'), Bakambu (78'), Tianyi (90+5')
May 4, 2021 1pm
Beijing Guoan
2-0
Dalian Pro
Xizhe (54', 55')
Dabao (28'), Tianyi (65'), Zhongguo (71')

Tong (59'), Sun (90+3')
Tong (73')
Oct 25, 2020 1am
rhs 2.0
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