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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Barracas Central
2 - 1
River Plate

Arce (18'), Peinipil (57')
Alvarez (22'), Arce (56'), Calderara (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borja (63')
Palavecino (29'), Solari (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 22 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Barracas Central 1-3 River Plate

High-flying River Plate look destined to notch a seventh successive victory at the expense of Barracas Central, who have struggled for consistency throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Barracas CentralDrawRiver Plate
14.72% (0.011000000000001 0.01) 21.37%63.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (0.012 0.01)49.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.47% (0.020999999999994 0.02)45.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)81.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21%14.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94%43.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barracas Central 14.72%
    River Plate 63.9%
    Draw 21.36%
Barracas CentralDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 5.3%
2-1 @ 3.99% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-0 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 14.72%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.36%
0-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 63.9%

How you voted: Barracas Central vs River Plate

Barracas Central
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
River Plate
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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