Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
40.96% ( 2.14) | 23.9% ( -0.27) | 35.14% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% ( 1.07) | 40.62% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( 1.09) | 63.01% ( -1.09) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 1.47) | 20.08% ( -1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% ( 2.3) | 52.32% ( -2.31) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.03% ( -0.5) | 22.96% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% ( -0.74) | 56.75% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.96% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |