Exeter

3 - 1

Scunthorpe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.