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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 53.95% | 24.75% | 21.31% |
| Both teams to score 48.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% | 53.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% | 74.73% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% | 19.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% | 51.64% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% | 76.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.81% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.31% |