Russia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 8, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Friends Arena
Sweden national football team

Russia
1 - 2
Sweden

Sobolev (90+2')
Kuzyaev (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isak (21'), Johansson (73')
Olsson (90+1')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Russia and Sweden.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sweden win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
RussiaDrawSweden
47.69%24.93%27.37%
Both teams to score 54.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32%48.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21%70.79%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09%52.91%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Score Analysis
    Russia 47.69%
    Sweden 27.37%
    Draw 24.93%
RussiaDrawSweden
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.69%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.37%