Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Cantarrana
Vizela

Real Madrid Castilla
4 - 1
Vizela

Alonso (42'), Munoz (44'), Zuniga (66', 71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Milovanovic (58')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Real Madrid Castilla and Vizela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Castilla

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Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 3-0 Real Madrid Castilla
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Vizela

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Vizela 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Castilla win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Castilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid Castilla would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid CastillaDrawVizela
40.67% (-0.282 -0.28)25.99% (0.09 0.09)33.34% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.23800000000001 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (-0.333 -0.33)50.53% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (-0.293 -0.29)72.45% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Real Madrid Castilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.291 -0.29)24.53% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (-0.413 -0.41)59% (0.415 0.41)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)28.73% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)64.56% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid Castilla 40.67%
    Vizela 33.34%
    Draw 25.99%
Real Madrid CastillaDrawVizela
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.34%