Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Cantarrana

Racing de Ferrol
3 - 0
Real Madrid Castilla

Naldo (45'), Lopez (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Real Madrid Castilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ourense CF 1-0 Racing de Ferrol
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Real Madrid Castilla

Last Game: Real Madrid Castilla 0-1 Real Union
Saturday, November 29 at 5pm in Segunda B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Real Madrid Castilla had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Real Madrid Castilla win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club de Ferrol would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawReal Madrid Castilla
57.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)24.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)17.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.43% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Real Madrid Castilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)45.28% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 57.51%
    Real Madrid Castilla 17.97%
    Draw 24.5%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawReal Madrid Castilla
1-0 @ 14.41%
2-0 @ 11.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 57.51%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.97%