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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rylands Recreation Club

Rylands
4 - 0
Thackley

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Rylands and Thackley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rylands

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Last Game: Rylands 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Thackley

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Last Game: Golcar United 0-1 Thackley
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rylands win with a probability of 72.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Thackley had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rylands win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Thackley win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rylands would win this match.

Result
RylandsDrawThackley
72.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.53% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.29% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)30.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)52.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Rylands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.61%7.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.36% (0.0039999999999907 0)26.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Thackley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)37.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)74.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rylands 72.39%
    Thackley 11.77%
    Draw 15.83%
RylandsDrawThackley
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 8.01%
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.32%
6-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 72.39%
1-1 @ 7.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.83%
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.77%