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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Top Field

Hitchin Town
0 - 2
Berkhamsted

FT(HT: 0-2)
Lacey (24' pen.), James (37')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Hitchin Town and Berkhamsted.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hitchin Town

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Last Game: Hitchin Town 0-3 Luton
Friday, July 1 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
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Berkhamsted

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Last Game: Little Oakley 1-4 Berkhamsted
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berkhamsted win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Hitchin Town had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Berkhamsted win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Hitchin Town win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Berkhamsted would win this match.

Result
Hitchin TownDrawBerkhamsted
25.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)21.96% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)52.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.96% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.61% (0.010999999999996 0.01)36.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Hitchin Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.67% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Berkhamsted Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.14% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (0.012 0.01)41.8% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hitchin Town 25.81%
    Berkhamsted 52.23%
    Draw 21.96%
Hitchin TownDrawBerkhamsted
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 0.94%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.81%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 6.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 52.23%